Influence of the marketing zone on the luck of the coupon lottery bettor

Abstract

The bettor, when acquiring a lottery coupon, buys a possibility with a very low probability of occurrence; when the region receives the tickets for sale, it acquires a probabilistic load, creating the illusion of influence on the draw. But the probability of the region is not transferable to the bettor. The former makes the game of very low participation, but neither the operator nor the bettors are passive in the face of this, there is much at stake. In this research, based on the information of 40 sequential draws of a lottery in Venezuela, the area is ruled out as a lucky region through the construction of a weighted distribution model which, incorporating all the actors, explains why, as the jackpot accumulates, overall sales are increased without influence from the area. The game takes place in an interesting interrelation between the actors, eliminating the jackpot fatigue in a collective action promoted by FOMO.